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Analysis

Grayscale’s Bull Market Bets

Crypto's Wall Street whisperer has had a lot to say recently.
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Aug 22, 20244 min read

OG crypto asset manager Grayscale has been awfully busy lately.

When Grayscale announces a new Trust for a particular asset, the market often reacts with a mix of excitement and skepticism. It's a bit like a double-edged sword: a signal of saturation for some and a beacon of hope for others.

Some might interpret the launch as a sign that the market for that asset is reaching saturation or at least limited upside potential in crypto terms. On the one hand, it’s a stamp of approval from a major player in the crypto space. It can lend legitimacy to the asset, potentially attracting institutional investors, and, at the very least, boost media coverage.

Grayscale has been adding new investment products at a faster clip, showcasing their conviction that we’re in the middle innings of a crypto bull market fueled by a grand slam of bullish signals: Bitcoin ETF inflows, the long-awaited ETH ETF launch, increasing stablecoin adoption, and steady growth in TVL across DeFi.

As a quiet giant in the industry, investors continue to watch what Grayscale is backing and what that says about their impressions of which direction the industry is headed. What assets have caught their attention lately? Let's find out. 👇


Grayscale Decentralized AI Fund (FIL, NEAR, RNDR, LPT, TAO)

Grayscale Decentralized AI Fund is a first-of-its-kind fund that invests solely in native tokens of decentralized AI protocols. It currently includes Filecoin, Near, Render, Livepeer, and Bittensor.

Breakdown of holdings in Grayscale Decentralized AI Fund. Source: Grayscale

Grayscale points out the concerns of a future dominated by centralized AI and the potential of crypto to create a more equitable and transparent ecosystem. They believe that while the crypto x AI sector is early, it holds immense promise. By leveraging the power of crypto, we can build a more equitable, transparent, and trustworthy AI ecosystem

Grayscale Dynamic Income Fund (SOL, CBETH, NEAR, Others)

The Grayscale Dynamic Income Fund (GDIF) is designed to capitalize on the growing staking rewards offered by various tokens like SOL, ETH, NEAR, and several others. This fund aims to maximize returns by strategically allocating capital to tokens with attractive staking yields.

Grayscale is known for its diversified approach to crypto investing. While they typically diversify across sectors, GDIF marks a new frontier: diversifying across different types of tokens. This offers investors a distinct yield opportunity beyond the potential upside of the underlying tokens.

Grayscale NEAR Trust (NEAR)

Grayscale sees NEAR as a standout player in the crypto landscape thanks to its strategic focus on AI and chain abstraction. NEAR’s vision of user-owned AI is ambitious, but its active developer community, growing user base, and substantial funding give it the firepower to achieve this goal. As the world continues to embrace AI, NEAR may well emerge as the platform of choice for developers and users alike.

Grayscale Stacks Trust (STX)

Stacks is Grayscale’s bet on the promising Bitcoin L2 landscape. Stacks offers a solution to Bitcoin’s scalability and functionality challenges by building an L2 on top that enables smart contracts. This approach allows developers to build a wide range of applications on top of Bitcoin's blockchain.

As the ecosystem around Bitcoin continues to grow and more DeFi activity kicks in, the need for scalability and lower costs will only become more apparent and Stacks offers a solution to this problem.

Grayscale MakerDAO Trust

MakerDAO is an OG DeFi project, and MKR, the native governance token, is the key to participating in this ecosystem. The launch of the Grayscale MakerDAO Trust comes at a time when there’s renewed interest in bluechip DeFi projects and their tokens. 

Grayscale believes that MKR offers investors exposure to a diverse range of opportunities within the MakerDAO ecosystem. These opportunities include on-chain credit protocols, stablecoins, real-world assets, and more.

Grayscale Bittensor Trust (TAO)

Bittensor envisions a world where AI isn't a tool in the hands of a few corporations but a resource democratized for all. It aims to create an "Internet of AI" where everyone can contribute and benefit from AI models. TAO incentivizes participants to contribute to the network by providing rewards for tasks like validating models and running AI computations. 

As the AI race among big tech companies heats up, Grayscale believes that Bittensor offers a compelling alternative approach towards AI development, one that encourages a wider range of participants and ideas.

Grayscale SUI Trust (SUI)

Sui boasts a novel blockchain design that prioritizes scalability and user experience. It allows for parallel processing, tackling multiple transactions simultaneously. Sui’s competitive edge comes down to its custom-built programming language, Sui Move, which streamlines smart contract development and execution.

As the need for blockspace and faster execution in crypto increases, Grayscale believes that Sui opens the door to a new wave of decentralized applications that were previously limited by existing blockchain infrastructure.


The Grayscale Effect

Overall, the impact of a Grayscale Trust launch is highly subjective to the specific asset. By no means does it signify that the asset is destined for greatness. Take the Grayscale Decentraland Trust (MANA), for instance.

The key takeaway is that Grayscale's bullish outlook on crypto is evident in its recent product launches. They believe we're currently in a bull market and are positioning themselves accordingly.

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