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Analysis

Cosmos at a Crossroads

The trail-blazing chain is losing community support, here's why.
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Aug 12, 20244 min read

The Cosmos ecosystem is facing some existential issues.

A chorus of developers, investors, and users are raising red flags about the ecosystem's health and the actions necessary to rectify its path forward.

Let's dissect the drama and the growing concerns of the community about the future of the ecosystem 👇


Good Old Governance Issues 

The Interchain Foundation (ICF), tasked with overseeing the Cosmos ecosystem, has become a focal point of growing tension. Allegations of mismanagement, conflicts of interest, and a lack of transparency have surfaced, leading to a decline in community trust.

This isn't mere gossip. A recent declaration of no confidence in the ICF, along with calls for a comprehensive audit and leadership overhaul, underscore the seriousness of these concerns.

This lack of transparency may be indicative of deeper issues within the ecosystem. Operational and organizational gridlock are causing developer and user morale to suffer, and users are voicing concerns about endless delays and bureaucratic hurdles in shipping everyday developments.

Moreover, there's a growing disconnect between the ecosystem's builders and its users. Builders are obsessed with pushing technical boundaries, a noble pursuit in theory, but many feel that somewhere along the line, they forgot about the people who actually use this stuff.

The core issue identified is the intangible nature of Cosmos, making it difficult to resonate with users. This lack of clarity has led to users asking for more from the ecosystem.


First Mover Disadvantage 

Cosmos has always been ahead of the curve when it comes to shaping the future of crypto and blockchain development. It pioneered the "app-chain" vision, a concept now central to the modular blockchain thesis and the idea of blockchain sovereignty. 

However, today Cosmos’ lead has vanished. The rise of rollups on Ethereum and Celestia offers developers similar customization options as Cosmos' app-chains. Importantly, these solutions come with the added benefits of established communities and deeper liquidity pools.

In essence, Cosmos finds itself falling behind in a race it once led.

Developers are pragmatic. They want the flexibility Cosmos offers, but they also crave the network effects of a thriving ecosystem that Ethereum and Celestia provide.

Ultimately, the success of Cosmos depends on its ability to create tangible value for users and foster a thriving ecosystem of applications. If Cosmos fails to effectively address the challenges it's currently facing, the community may look back on this period as a missed opportunity. 

With a head start and a visionary roadmap, Cosmos had the potential to dominate the multi-chain landscape. However, without the necessary execution, that potential remains unrealized.

Cosmos has always had the right vision and ideas, but not the execution (yet).

A Fork in the Road 

"What can be, unburdened by what has been" 

The Cosmos ecosystem is undeniably at a crossroads. Internal strife, tokens down bad, and a demoralized community paint a bleak picture. It's easy to dismiss Cosmos as a failed experiment.

But hold on. Let's not replay history. Cosmos' core technology and vision were groundbreaking. They inspired countless projects and laid the foundation for future advancements in our industry.

This isn't a dead end for Cosmos; it's a fork in the road. These aren't insurmountable challenges. If Cosmos can address them, it can emerge from this crisis stronger than ever. 

The path forward requires a course correction. Looking at ecosystems like Ethereum, Solana, and Celestia offers valuable insights. These ecosystems have demonstrated the importance of:

  • Governance and trust – A transparent and accountable foundation is essential. The ICF must prioritize rebuilding confidence. Trust needs to be rebuilt, brick by brick.
  • Focus on users – It all starts with the user. Without a seamless user experience, Cosmos is a beautiful ghost town. Individual teams should prioritize building products that directly benefit users.
  • Empower developers – Give builders the tools and freedom to create killer apps. Great tech deserves killer apps. Proactively educate builders about the Cosmos stack to attract a wider range of projects.
  • A clear vision – A compelling narrative is crucial. Cosmos must articulate its unique value proposition – What problem are you solving? Why should anyone care?

Cosmos has a chance to catch up, but the time to act is now.

Not financial or tax advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. This newsletter is not tax advice. Talk to your accountant. Do your own research.

Disclosure. From time-to-time I may add links in this newsletter to products I use. I may receive commission if you make a purchase through one of these links. Additionally, the Bankless writers hold crypto assets. See our investment disclosures here.

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