Bitcoin and Trump

1️⃣ Bitcoin Gives Up Its Gains 

After a strong rejection off $70K earlier this week, Bitcoin attempted to stabilize at $65K, though it slumped back down to as low as $61.5K Friday after a weak U.S. jobs report. Adding to the bearish mood was the transfer of roughly $1.6B in BTC and ETH from wallets linked to the bankrupt Genesis Trading, likely for in-kind repayments to creditors – something that could lead to even more sell pressure. Overall, sentiment has whiplashed negative, which will need time to even out, especially ahead of election season.

2️⃣ Crypto Reconsiders All-In on Trump

As Kamala gains traction and her odds on Polymarket have surged to a new high, Crypto Twitter has been animated by discussion of the “unwinding of the Trump trade.” With $486M wagered, Harris' odds rose to 44%, while Trump's odds dipped to 54%. As a result, chatter about the industry betting its future on a Trump win has become a central topic. Understandably, many believe this alignment could be extremely risky in retrospect. Harris's campaign, now amassing substantial donations and increasing activity in key swing states, is rising in popularity in national polls.

3️⃣ Telegram Launches Web3 Browser and App Store

Telegram had a big week, releasing its previously announced new update that adds an in-app browser supporting TON Sites, as well as a mini-app store to the app. It also comes equipped with a new in-app currency called Stars for in-app purchases. Overall, this update now positions Telegram as essentially a Web3 super-app, clearly introducing crypto functionality to its nearly 1B users.

4️⃣ Coinbase and MicroStrategy Report Earnings

Wall Street had a tough week, but Coinbase's week was particularly tough. COIN stock is down 19% on the week despite surpassing revenue expectations in its Q2 earnings with $1.45B. The firm dramatically missed on earnings per share, 84% below analyst projections. While transaction revenues declined by 27% quarter-over-quarter, subscription and services revenues saw a 17% increase. Simultaneously, Coinbase's operating expenses rose by 26% to $1.1B as it looks to expand its infrastructure and headcount. Meanwhile, fellow crypto stock MicroStrategy reported a net loss of $102.6M due to an $180.1M loss as the value of its Bitcoin holdings dropped.

5️⃣ Solana Surpasses Ethereum in DEX Volume

For the first time, Solana outpaced Ethereum in monthly DEX trading volume, hitting $55.88B in July, compared to Ethereum's $53.87B. Further, on Wednesday, Pump.Fun beat out Ethereum in daily revenue, $867K vs ETH’s $844K. Ethereum’s revenue still far outpaces Solana’s for the past year, ~$2.2B versus Solana’s $157M. While memes have generated the chain significant activity, Solana’s also recently seen more traction around RWAs, with Ondo’s USDY being integrated into DeFi, Jupiter’s GUM Alliance beginning its formation, and Brevan Howard launching a tokenized fund on the chain. 

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